With launch of Retail Sales Tracking, BDSA Provides Comprehensive Suite of Market and Consumer Insights on the Canadian Cannabis Market
BDSA has launched retail sales tracking data for Canada, providing brands and retailers with greater insight into the world’s largest nationally legal cannabis market.
BDSA forecasts Canada’s cannabis industry will reach CAD$3.3 billion ($2.5 billion) in spending in 2020 and grow to CAD$8.1 billion in 2025, rising at a compound annual growth rate of 20%. Canada’s market is divided into the medical and adult-use channels, with the latter commencing sales in October 2018. Consumer spending in the adult-use channel has grown rapidly since launch and is expected to account for nearly 84% of Canada’s total legal cannabis market in 2020.
Canada’s legal cannabis market has soared since the introduction of adult-use sales on Oct. 17, 2018. In 2019, sales of adult-use cannabis neared $1.2 billion while medical continued to grow nationally, though signs of a coming contraction in that channel became apparent as the year ended.
Even so, the market is growing more slowly than the forecast in “The State of Legal Cannabis Markets, 8th Edition” published earlier in 2020 by Arcview Market Research and BDSA. In accordance with this slower than anticipated growth, the forecast for 2020 adult-use spending has been adjusted down to $2.1 billion from the previous forecast of $2.4 billion, while medical spending in 2020 has been adjusted down to $402 million from $470 million.
When Colorado first launched adult-use (recreational) sales in 2014, the existing medical market opened up to a wave of new consumers, including those from the sizable illicit market as well as new consumers who previously had little or no experience with cannabis.
The popularity of CBD products has exploded in the U.S. in recent years, with sales in the U.S. cannabis dispensary channel alone rising from $8.4 million in May 2016 to $56.9 million in May 2020. And hemp-derived CBD products, containing less than 0.3% THC, are increasingly available via general retail channels, though CBD ingestibles are still officially off limits for sale in general retail channels in the U.S. and most other jurisdictions.
The legal cannabis market has exploded in recent years, with sales in the U.S. reaching an estimated $12.4 billion in 2019, forecast to rise to $31 billion by 2024. The market for cannabidiol (CBD) has also grown rapidly, with U.S. sales totaling $2.6 billion in 2019, on track to reach $18 billion by 2024. While THC and CBD are the most widely known and marketed compounds found in Cannabis sativa, a few of the other 113 currently identified cannabinoids show potential for therapeutic and recreational applications and have attracted the attention of both researchers and those in the industry.
Global legal cannabis spending is forecast to reach $47 billion in 2025, a number too big to ignore for many companies and industries. The U.S. will continue to be the largest global market, driven by more and more adult use markets opening.
The COVID-19 public health crisis reset societies around the globe in just a few short months. With more than 150,000 deaths as of this writing, per the Johns Hopkins coronavirus resource center, no aspect of our lives remains untouched. The Easter and Passover holidays were forced online and over 22 million Americans have lost their jobs in the last few weeks. Global economies are in shambles and economists are virtually guaranteeing a recession (i.e., two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth).
As part of our partnership with ACCRES, BDS Analytics' President and Co-Founder, Liz Stahura, recently presented a Cannabis 2.0 webinar for Canadian Retailers. Here are our Top Five takeaways: